Blue Jays vs. Angels MLB Odds, Picks & Predictions: Sharps Betting Thursday’s Biggest Model Edge - The Action Network

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Photo by John Cordes/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Los Angeles Angels designated hitter Shohei Ohtani

Aug 12, 2021, 05:30 PM EDT

• The Los Angeles Angels take on the Toronto Blue Jays in MLB action Thursday night.
• While most eyeballs will be on the Field of Dreams Game between the Yankees and White Sox, sharps have quietly hammered the LA-Toronto total.
• PJ Walsh breaks down what that means for bettors in the breakdown below.

Blue Jays vs. Angels Odds

Blue Jays Odds	-135
Angels Odds	+115
Over/Under	8.5
Time	9:38 p.m. ET
TV	BSW

*MLB Odds as of Thursday at 11 a.m. ET

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In my Yankees vs. White Sox Field of Dreams Game PRO betting report, I wrote, “Terrible jokes aside, tonight’s Field of Dreams Game between the New York Yankees and Chicago White Sox should draw plenty of eyeballs, and with extra eyeballs often comes recreational betting action.”

The Action Network’s MLB public betting data backs this up as Yankees vs. White Sox is already the most bet game of the day with plenty of time to pile on considering its 7:15 p.m. ET start.

But let’s not forget that Thursday’s MLB slate includes 14 games, each of which pays the same for the winning bets as the Field of Dreams Games will.

And while recreational bettors are keying in on Yankees vs. White Sox, sharps are quietly loading up on Thursday’s biggest betting edge of them all: Blue Jays vs. Angels.

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Blue Jays vs. Angels Pick

Sharp Action

The Blue Jays vs. Angels over/under opened at 7.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook and now sits at 8.5 … and you can thank wiseguys for that movement.

Action Labs’ Bet Signals tracked a steam move on the over at around 8:23 a.m. ET, explaining why this number has pushed north of the opener.

Model Projection

So why are professionals so bullish on this over? Based on our MLB PRO Projections, the Blue Jays vs. Angels total was (and still is even after the movement) way too low.

Our model projects this number at 9.55, translating to a B-graded, 5.9% edge when compared to the current market consensus of 8.5 (click here for live MLB odds), which is the biggest of Thursday’s schedule.

Top Experts

And as is typically the case, two of our top MLB betting experts have sniffed out the value as well with the Blue Jays vs. Angels over.

PRO Report Pick: Blue Jays-Angels Over 8.5

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2021-08-12 15:13:00Z
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